The Emerging Geo Political Disorder Post Russia Ukraine War (2022-2025 AD)

Abstract

The Russo-Ukraine War, which began in 2022 and is now in its fourth year, has devastated both countries. Human rights violations against ethnic Russians and the Ukrainian military's relationship with NATO prompted Putin to portray the operation as a unique military operation aimed at demilitarizing and de-Nazifying Ukraine. All of this was rejected by Europe, which was under the impression that the war would limit European political and economic independence. Central Asian states have taken a cautious, neutral stance on the Ukraine war, avoiding direct support for Russia while upholding Ukraine’s sovereignty. Kazakhstan has been the most vocal, refusing to recognize Russian annexations, while Uzbekistan has also stressed territorial integrity. Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan remain more reserved due to economic and security ties with Russia. Across the region, countries are diversifying partnerships with China, Turkey, and the West to reduce dependence on Moscow. China remains neutral but leans toward Russia, increasing trade while calling for peace. The Arab world is divided: Gulf States stay neutral, Syria supports Russia, and others balance ties with both sides. Pakistan initially tried neutrality but slightly strengthened its diplomatic interaction with Russia while selling some ammunition to Ukraine as well. According to some critics, the United States under Biden actually pushed Zelenskyy into war by promising an all-out moral, financial, and armament support while keeping Europe by their side. It resulted in aggravated war temperature. Under Trump, the stance seems to be completely changing. Trump blamed Zelenskyy for war and is forcing him to disengage while accepting a displaced geopolitical order. The US has started reassessing military aid. A tense meeting with Zelenskyy on 28 Feb 2025(Baker, 2025) has disturbed all alignments. The U.S. has also restricted intelligence sharing (Lillis et.al. 2025) with Ukraine, raising concerns about its defense. With or without America, European allies are stepping up efforts to support Zelenskyy (Politico,2025) and to present a unified peace plan. There is an emerging geopolitical disorder due to such changes in stances and positions of key players, most prominently the United States. It surely is a perfect case study to explore what all could be reasons on the hind side for such change of stances, what are the possibilities of reaching to a peaceful conclusion and how would this war impact Europe and the rest of the world in coming years.